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年內(nèi)再度加息 警惕高負(fù)債個股http://www.sina.com.cn 2007年05月22日 02:16 中國證券網(wǎng)-上海證券報
與往次加息存貸差維持不變不同,此次加息,商業(yè)銀行信貸利差1年期下降2.5%,3~5年期下降9.68%,5年期下降幅度最大,達(dá)到16.67%。加息對銀行業(yè)造成直接的負(fù)面影響。隨著國有商業(yè)銀行改制上市的順利推進(jìn),目前銀行業(yè)上市公司在整個股市中占有舉足輕重的地位,因此此次加息對股市有一定的調(diào)控意圖。 從幅度上看,加息的動作并不大,警示作用大于實際效果;本次貸款利率上調(diào)幅度只有0.18個百分點,上一次貸款利率上調(diào)為0.27個百分點。但半年時間不到,年內(nèi)已經(jīng)兩度加息,且CPI價格今年以來一直居高,特別是資產(chǎn)價格走勢使人擔(dān)憂,繼續(xù)加息的預(yù)期依然強(qiáng)烈。在這樣的宏觀背景下,投資者應(yīng)該對資產(chǎn)負(fù)債率較高的行業(yè)和個股引起足夠的警惕。(周韜) 部分行業(yè)資產(chǎn)負(fù)債率情況 板塊名稱資產(chǎn)負(fù)債率(整體法)(%) 今年一季去年年報 航空運(yùn)輸78.0776.26 商業(yè)貿(mào)易66.5564.58 建筑建材63.2463.98 家用電器62.7461.07 信息設(shè)備61.5862.60 房地產(chǎn)61.5761.11 輕工制造60.9462.35 農(nóng)林牧漁58.8158.08 電力57.2959.13 交運(yùn)設(shè)備57.1658.66 機(jī)械設(shè)備56.5857.14 有色金屬55.3649.68 黑色金屬55.2154.01 公路運(yùn)輸53.4054.94 化工53.0654.06 醫(yī)藥生物53.0052.93 紡織服裝51.6251.99 電子元器件50.9151.81 餐飲旅游47.2846.43 信息服務(wù)45.0745.03 食品飲料43.2041.68 煤炭開采43.0243.97 港口39.9841.54 機(jī)場24.6122.18 銀行負(fù)債率較高的個股 代碼名稱一季報負(fù)債情況去年全年財務(wù)指標(biāo)今年一季財務(wù)指標(biāo)所屬行業(yè) (長期借款+短期借款)/資產(chǎn)總計(%)資產(chǎn)長期借款短期借款流動速動比率(倍)每股收益(元)每股經(jīng)營性現(xiàn)金流量(元)凈資產(chǎn)每股每股經(jīng)營性現(xiàn)金流量(元)凈資產(chǎn) 負(fù)債率(%)(萬元)(萬元)比率(倍)收益率收益收益率 (%)(元)(%) 002039黔源電力73.3279.87160650.0032200.000.310.28-0.281.05-7.86-0.120.30-3.29電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 000966長源電力64.1081.37526066.65204600.000.540.490.171.257.020.030.051.13電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 600396金山股份61.8972.64249212.3035500.001.081.030.250.387.560.180.425.23電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 600106重慶路橋61.8866.71173600.0049600.000.820.700.291.467.630.05-0.151.36交通運(yùn)輸、倉儲業(yè) 002083孚日股份61.8074.7032360.00255306.350.480.170.310.9011.340.090.253.10制造業(yè)-紡織、服裝、皮毛 600744華銀電力61.1571.74532156.7878000.001.130.850.150.873.960.040.371.17電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 000815美利紙業(yè)59.5382.23198027.0084470.000.740.350.210.894.060.080.231.46制造業(yè)-造紙、印刷 600648外高橋59.2773.93176000.0084942.040.360.240.02-0.351.16-0.02-0.26-1.09房地產(chǎn)業(yè) 600339天利高新58.9676.9284000.0087100.000.490.300.020.741.180.01-0.100.33制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 600299星新材料58.6578.05105270.00237180.000.690.420.560.4416.450.110.023.20制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 600886國投電力58.3872.41783318.00219520.000.550.500.511.8913.130.190.785.65電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 600074中達(dá)股份57.3273.4920900.00244943.260.660.450.00-0.540.21-0.05-0.39-3.51制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 000877天山股份57.1275.53151324.7889396.370.840.550.212.068.00-0.13-0.61-5.16制造業(yè)-金屬、非金屬 600768寧波富邦56.9274.202800.0034400.000.700.370.060.045.090.01-0.140.45交通運(yùn)輸、倉儲業(yè) 600868梅雁水電56.0870.92361321.4684300.000.650.49-0.370.12-33.670.000.020.39綜合類 600027華電國際55.5971.672101578.801023447.900.180.150.190.618.390.050.252.04電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 601991大唐發(fā)電55.1468.884077913.101063752.100.690.640.481.3211.940.150.543.55電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 600792馬龍產(chǎn)業(yè)55.0181.1547760.000.710.40-0.39-1.05-32.57-0.240.17-23.71制造業(yè)-金屬、非金屬 600812華北制藥54.5378.292000.00379603.470.610.470.040.583.310.010.070.92制造業(yè)-醫(yī)藥、生物制品 002067景興紙業(yè)54.2565.3639229.1471200.001.000.700.250.668.790.09-0.192.99制造業(yè)-造紙、印刷 600310桂東電力53.7463.6093068.0036000.000.730.690.590.9513.510.040.121.04電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 000043深南光A53.4076.6453849.9983329.681.470.460.50-3.4316.630.06-1.282.08綜合類 000525紅太陽53.2278.208001.41172150.000.960.540.120.135.280.01-1.250.33制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 000933神火股份53.1167.91217682.1699500.000.980.820.810.5021.670.330.069.23采掘業(yè) 000520長航鳳凰52.7666.0898114.0089000.000.690.630.120.045.880.02-0.111.46制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 600141興發(fā)集團(tuán)52.2570.00104387.0045500.000.950.840.261.527.430.03-0.020.74制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 600969郴電國際52.1764.8486319.0326100.001.351.29-0.290.50-10.560.050.051.90電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 600798寧波海運(yùn)52.0965.03208300.0040345.000.590.550.310.4714.720.080.093.56交通運(yùn)輸、倉儲業(yè) 600354敦煌種業(yè)52.0061.142380.1080700.991.100.520.070.772.26-0.03-0.57-0.99農(nóng)、林、牧、漁業(yè) 600067冠城大通51.9880.9972996.18155952.001.310.400.31-1.5318.130.06-0.583.35制造業(yè)-機(jī)械、設(shè)備、儀表 600373鑫新股份51.8470.0610600.0040083.001.000.540.080.393.49-0.020.12-1.03制造業(yè)-金屬、非金屬 600863內(nèi)蒙華電51.7371.18894654.00214100.000.510.420.110.794.890.030.151.25電力、煤氣及水的生產(chǎn)和供應(yīng)業(yè) 600591上海航空51.4383.04245713.50345471.190.370.340.010.940.41-0.070.10-5.07交通運(yùn)輸、倉儲業(yè) 600216浙江醫(yī)藥51.0569.1912479.00119780.000.790.540.140.387.860.010.010.37制造業(yè)-醫(yī)藥、生物制品 000960錫業(yè)股份50.5060.5215250.00228604.670.850.440.40-0.2712.040.23-0.256.63制造業(yè)-金屬、非金屬 000753漳州發(fā)展50.1759.1858651.303897.492.051.900.040.792.250.02-0.061.23交通運(yùn)輸、倉儲業(yè) 600078澄星股份49.6466.2536350.00141700.000.770.450.170.145.850.020.021.34制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 600279重慶港九49.5455.7574800.0018800.001.691.660.150.174.430.060.091.62交通運(yùn)輸、倉儲業(yè) 000683天然堿49.3068.3952497.0078763.470.380.270.360.4135.660.030.072.77制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 600301南化股份49.1360.4519429.0060766.000.440.280.290.868.350.01-0.110.30制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 000789江西水泥49.1266.3253498.0052975.000.400.200.040.152.130.010.040.83制造業(yè)-金屬、非金屬 000679大連友誼48.9068.7663748.4265000.001.741.020.12-2.164.840.03-0.221.15批發(fā)和零售貿(mào)易 600295鄂爾多斯48.7260.34195350.00429900.001.000.430.200.336.200.060.002.06制造業(yè)-紡織、服裝、皮毛 600660福耀玻璃48.6362.94280400.00114008.850.970.430.611.1721.500.160.355.33制造業(yè)-金屬、非金屬 600962國投中魯48.5360.30200.0076600.001.060.350.25-0.938.050.040.611.26農(nóng)、林、牧、漁業(yè) 600176中國玻纖48.5166.18128986.35172100.000.630.530.320.7616.160.06-0.032.46制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 600708海博股份48.4760.2010200.00118341.990.510.400.421.0117.120.060.052.69綜合類 600357承德釩鈦48.4369.03124880.00401040.000.540.370.370.0611.500.06-0.101.79制造業(yè)-金屬、非金屬 600262北方股份48.4066.9013743.8986870.131.200.590.110.122.950.01-0.470.37制造業(yè)-機(jī)械、設(shè)備、儀表 600401江蘇申龍48.1867.807699.4257973.790.410.34-0.010.06-0.47-0.020.05-1.09制造業(yè)-石油、化學(xué)、塑膠、塑料 資產(chǎn)負(fù)債率較低的個股 代碼名稱今年一季財務(wù)指標(biāo) 資產(chǎn)負(fù)債率(%)每股收益(元)每股經(jīng)營性現(xiàn)金流量(元)凈資產(chǎn)收益率(%) 000916華北高速2.120.060.062.15 000685公用科技3.260.020.041.11 000637S茂實華4.400.02-0.141.50 600897廈門空港4.520.130.133.25 000975S科學(xué)城4.530.000.000.21 000088鹽田港6.200.120.064.43 600575蕪湖港6.250.080.041.88 002038雙鷺?biāo)帢I(yè)6.320.260.064.85 600640中衛(wèi)國脈7.850.09-0.053.07 600975新五豐7.930.02-0.020.47 600985雷鳴科化8.060.04-0.011.12 002040南京港8.310.020.050.82 600563法拉電子8.570.120.143.42 000554泰山石油8.760.040.132.22 600403欣網(wǎng)視訊8.860.000.070.02 000089深圳機(jī)場8.880.080.073.50 002093國脈科技9.000.190.023.96 002095網(wǎng)盛科技9.020.140.062.59 600239S紅河9.080.01-0.620.38 002063遠(yuǎn)光軟件9.140.07-0.152.33 000602金馬集團(tuán)9.170.07-0.013.12 600149華夏建通9.750.00-0.350.23 000541佛山照明9.830.350.024.90 600754錦江股份9.910.090.012.67 000798中水漁業(yè)9.93-0.010.10-0.35 000686S錦六陸9.960.010.090.34 002036宜科科技10.410.05-0.031.58 600171上海貝嶺10.530.01-0.010.37 600649原水股份10.860.060.111.70 600135S樂凱10.880.01-0.150.36 002046軸研科技10.890.09-0.282.33 601006大秦鐵路11.620.120.124.40 002023海特高新11.850.060.001.48 600831廣電網(wǎng)絡(luò)12.230.020.010.38 000875吉電股份12.560.040.161.16 600355精倫電子13.20-0.01-0.20-0.42 002089新海宜13.280.02-0.120.55 600436片仔癀13.480.200.134.38 600197伊力特13.710.07-0.063.53 600588用友軟件14.050.22-0.203.72 600099林海股份14.060.010.141.26 002025航天電器14.070.17-0.124.58 000534汕電力A14.270.130.105.97 000682東方電子14.280.00-0.020.15 002026山東威達(dá)14.470.03-0.050.87 600871S儀化14.750.000.070.06 000096廣聚能源14.850.01-0.210.53 600420現(xiàn)代制藥14.950.09-0.034.77 002069獐子島14.980.37-0.664.02 600834申通地鐵15.110.070.063.61 601007金陵飯店15.160.030.031.20 002076雪萊特15.520.070.042.32 新浪聲明:本版文章內(nèi)容純屬作者個人觀點,僅供投資者參考,并不構(gòu)成投資建議。投資者據(jù)此操作,風(fēng)險自擔(dān)。
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