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宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)景氣指數(shù)(2007年6月)
日期
預(yù)警指數(shù)
一致指數(shù)
(1996年＝100)
先行指數(shù)
(1996年＝100)
滯后指數(shù)
(1996年＝100)
1991.01
88.0
99.64
102.01
103.88
1991.02
90.7
99.33
102.22
103.67
1991.03
84.0
99.65
102.77
103.19
1991.04
86.0
100.01
103.45
103.70
1991.05
89.3
101.04
103.84
104.48
1991.06
96.7
101.42
104.29
105.79
1991.07
100.7
101.74
104.33
105.99
1991.08
100.7
101.83
104.76
105.06
1991.09
100.7
101.89
105.49
104.52
1991.10
103.3
102.16
106.28
103.67
1991.11
106.7
102.19
106.61
103.35
1991.12
106.7
102.16
106.57
103.28
1992.01
113.3
103.51
106.93
104.19
1992.02
113.3
104.63
107.66
105.00
1992.03
116.0
104.92
108.49
105.32
1992.04
122.7
104.02
109.42
104.34
1992.05
120.7
102.82
110.20
103.67
1992.06
122.0
103.59
111.38
102.68
1992.07
115.3
104.21
112.22
102.53
1992.08
118.7
105.30
112.38
102.94
1992.09
121.3
105.49
111.03
102.62
1992.10
121.3
106.00
109.46
102.75
1992.11
132.0
106.72
108.59
102.61
1992.12
135.3
107.41
107.31
103.80
1993.01
139.3
109.87
107.39
105.03
1993.02
139.3
111.72
107.64
105.68
1993.03
142.0
113.80
108.25
105.19
1993.04
148.7
114.01
107.38
105.30
1993.05
148.7
114.27
106.11
105.81
1993.06
148.7
113.18
103.86
106.77
1993.07
142.7
111.26
102.28
106.94
1993.08
142.7
109.26
100.88
107.25
1993.09
132.0
107.87
101.27
108.00
1993.10
132.0
107.23
101.36
108.99
1993.11
135.3
108.14
103.62
110.02
1993.12
134.0
108.52
103.36
111.55
1994.01
130.7
106.54
101.77
113.67
1994.02
124.0
104.27
98.31
114.43
1994.03
117.3
103.52
97.17
113.76
1994.04
119.3
104.97
97.33
111.78
1994.05
119.3
105.82
97.27
111.03
1994.06
128.7
107.14
98.81
110.49
1994.07
132.7
108.79
99.72
110.80
1994.08
136.7
109.70
101.29
110.97
1994.09
139.3
109.61
100.80
111.22
1994.10
138.7
109.21
101.06
110.92
1994.11
138.7
108.86
99.34
110.12
1994.12
136.0
107.72
99.96
108.07
1995.01
132.0
106.55
100.75
104.99
1995.02
131.3
105.26
102.60
102.39
1995.03
124.0
104.09
102.66
101.31
1995.04
123.3
102.89
102.31
101.33
1995.05
126.0
102.33
102.10
100.85
1995.06
120.7
101.21
100.91
99.69
1995.07
109.3
100.42
100.52
97.98
1995.08
107.3
99.78
99.60
96.31
1995.09
111.3
100.16
99.94
94.88
1995.10
114.0
99.40
99.35
93.80
1995.11
114.0
99.57
99.90
93.68
1995.12
114.0
100.00
99.65
94.67
1996.01
111.3
101.55
99.40
96.33
1996.02
106.0
100.61
98.82
97.99
1996.03
106.0
100.24
98.68
99.09
1996.04
104.0
99.34
99.25
99.62
1996.05
106.7
99.38
100.00
99.97
1996.06
106.7
99.36
99.73
100.34
1996.07
105.3
99.38
99.81
100.99
1996.08
97.3
99.57
99.73
101.42
1996.09
93.3
99.65
100.81
101.56
1996.10
93.3
100.05
101.21
101.33
1996.11
92.0
100.45
101.46
100.62
1996.12
92.0
99.68
101.48
100.14
1997.01
94.7
98.54
101.52
99.20
1997.02
97.3
98.33
100.95
98.54
1997.03
100.0
98.33
100.83
98.31
1997.04
100.0
98.56
100.07
98.64
1997.05
99.3
98.02
99.71
99.33
1997.06
100.7
97.52
100.32
99.27
1997.07
94.0
97.00
100.28
99.04
1997.08
92.0
96.62
100.56
98.75
1997.09
96.0
96.59
99.60
98.59
1997.10
93.3
96.49
99.52
98.69
1997.11
88.0
95.77
99.34
98.47
1997.12
82.0
94.90
99.11
97.33
1998.01
74.0
94.05
99.26
96.55
1998.02
70.0
94.79
99.19
96.27
1998.03
62.0
94.88
99.06
95.81
1998.04
64.7
94.86
98.63
95.02
1998.05
58.7
94.07
98.00
93.66
1998.06
60.7
94.08
97.53
93.37
1998.07
60.7
94.58
96.82
93.21
1998.08
63.3
94.86
97.02
93.34
1998.09
63.3
94.94
97.65
93.37
1998.10
66.0
95.18
98.83
93.24
1998.11
70.0
95.08
98.74
93.12
1998.12
66.7
94.76
99.20
94.92
1999.01
66.7
94.09
99.17
95.28
1999.02
62.7
92.79
100.33
95.26
1999.03
60.0
92.60
100.18
93.47
1999.04
59.3
92.55
100.89
93.19
1999.05
59.3
93.37
101.31
93.25
1999.06
62.7
93.31
101.21
93.40
1999.07
62.7
93.00
101.36
93.35
1999.08
62.0
93.14
100.46
93.62
1999.09
70.0
93.36
99.80
93.58
1999.10
70.7
94.03
99.06
93.56
1999.11
77.3
94.30
99.86
93.02
1999.12
77.3
96.08
100.65
91.28
2000.01
75.3
96.51
101.19
91.28
2000.02
79.3
97.55
100.95
91.31
2000.03
83.3
96.92
101.00
92.85
2000.04
87.3
97.28
100.41
92.56
2000.05
87.3
97.00
100.05
92.32
2000.06
93.3
97.37
100.18
91.63
2000.07
90.7
97.91
100.22
91.49
2000.08
93.3
97.70
100.37
90.99
2000.09
93.3
97.35
99.91
90.89
2000.10
90.7
96.25
99.63
91.32
2000.11
86.7
95.91
98.91
92.47
2000.12
83.3
95.13
98.58
92.71
2001.01
91.3
96.41
98.64
92.42
2001.02
91.3
96.84
99.12
91.65
2001.03
91.3
97.51
99.63
91.70
2001.04
88.7
96.65
99.75
91.70
2001.05
85.3
96.30
99.70
92.27
2001.06
88.0
95.80
99.73
93.01
2001.07
83.3
95.26
100.09
93.17
2001.08
83.3
95.13
100.37
92.93
2001.09
76.7
94.99
100.30
92.47
2001.10
73.3
95.03
100.15
91.73
2001.11
76.0
94.97
100.33
91.41
2001.12
73.3
95.25
100.70
90.95
2002.01
76.7
94.95
100.72
90.88
2002.02
76.7
95.03
100.75
90.99
2002.03
76.7
95.46
100.67
91.04
2002.04
82.7
96.55
100.71
91.23
2002.05
85.3
96.99
100.82
91.19
2002.06
85.3
97.20
101.02
91.33
2002.07
89.3
97.13
101.20
91.65
2002.08
94.7
97.89
101.52
92.12
2002.09
94.7
98.32
101.64
92.64
2002.10
94.7
98.90
101.95
93.06
2002.11
100.7
98.43
101.36
93.32
2002.12
100.7
99.09
101.58
94.39
2003.01
107.3
100.01
101.87
95.06
2003.02
107.3
100.92
102.19
95.95
2003.03
104.7
100.22
101.32
96.35
2003.04
101.3
99.10
100.45
97.25
2003.05
97.3
99.06
100.53
97.53
2003.06
97.3
99.46
101.16
97.54
2003.07
109.3
99.93
102.00
97.47
2003.08
109.3
99.93
102.04
97.61
2003.09
109.3
99.91
102.38
97.98
2003.10
112.0
99.99
102.41
98.42
2003.11
112.0
100.39
102.59
98.68
2003.12
112.7
101.03
102.70
98.64
2004.01
116.7
101.87
102.42
98.58
2004.02
122.7
102.35
102.54
98.72
2004.03
125.3
102.63
102.39
99.14
2004.04
114.7
102.51
102.33
99.44
2004.05
112.0
102.21
101.65
99.46
2004.06
112.0
101.86
101.08
99.30
2004.07
105.3
101.52
100.83
99.11
2004.08
97.3
101.21
100.87
99.13
2004.09
97.3
101.11
100.70
98.77
2004.10
97.3
101.10
100.75
98.07
2004.11
97.3
101.16
100.66
97.22
2004.12
100.0
100.53
100.97
96.40
2005.01
100.0
100.04
101.20
96.46
2005.02
100.0
99.69
101.47
96.17
2005.03
97.3
99.92
101.81
95.68
2005.04
97.3
100.15
102.22
94.47
2005.05
97.3
100.49
102.58
93.58
2005.06
100.0
100.63
102.58
93.20
2005.07
104.0
100.85
102.47
93.00
2005.08
106.7
100.86
102.40
92.84
2005.09
106.7
101.00
102.30
92.94
2005.10
106.7
100.93
101.99
93.41
2005.11
106.7
100.84
102.05
93.99
2005.12
104.0
101.04
102.22
94.91
2006.01
101.3
100.83
102.67
94.51
2006.02
104.7
100.94
102.88
94.51
2006.03
104.7
100.82
102.83
94.15
2006.04
107.3
101.36
102.54
94.84
2006.05
107.3
101.57
102.31
95.69
2006.06
106.7
101.64
102.04
96.33
2006.07
106.7
101.39
101.89
97.09
2006.08
102.7
101.16
101.98
97.54
2006.09
100.0
100.93
102.27
97.92
2006.10
100.0
100.94
102.50
98.30
2006.11
104.0
100.69
102.53
98.50
2006.12
101.3
101.30
103.02
98.09
2007.01
105.3
101.67
102.98
98.77
2007.02
110.7
102.05
102.77
99.05
2007.03
110.7
102.01
102.54
99.97
2007.04
110.7
102.10
103.08
99.89
2007.05
113.3
102.45
103.33
100.40
2007.06
114.7
102.48
103.18
100.93
(編制方法及簡要分析參見www.cemac.org.cn)一致指數(shù)是反映當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)的基本走勢，由工業(yè)生產(chǎn)、就業(yè)、社會(huì)需求（投資、消費(fèi)、外貿(mào)）、社會(huì)收入（國家稅收、企業(yè)利潤、居民收入）等4個(gè)方面合成；先行指數(shù)是由一組領(lǐng)先于一致指數(shù)的先行指標(biāo)合成，用于對經(jīng)濟(jì)未來的走勢進(jìn)行預(yù)測；滯后指數(shù)是由落后于一致指數(shù)的滯后指標(biāo)合成得到，它主要用于對經(jīng)濟(jì)循環(huán)的峰與谷的一種確認(rèn)；預(yù)警指數(shù)是把經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的狀態(tài)分為5個(gè)級(jí)別，“紅燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)過熱，“黃燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)偏熱，“綠燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行正常，“淺藍(lán)燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)偏冷，“藍(lán)燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)過冷。