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新浪財經 > 滾動新聞 > 部委專題--國家統計局 > 正文
日期
預警指數
一致指數
(1996年=100)
先行指數
(1996年=100)
滯后指數
(1996年=100)
1991.01
88.0
99.64
102.00
103.86
1991.02
90.7
99.33
102.20
103.65
1991.03
84.0
99.66
102.75
103.17
1991.04
86.0
100.01
103.43
103.68
1991.05
89.3
101.05
103.82
104.46
1991.06
96.7
101.43
104.27
105.77
1991.07
100.7
101.75
104.31
105.97
1991.08
100.7
101.83
104.73
105.04
1991.09
100.7
101.90
105.46
104.49
1991.10
103.3
102.17
106.24
103.65
1991.11
106.7
102.20
106.57
103.33
1991.12
106.7
102.17
106.54
103.26
1992.01
113.3
103.52
106.90
104.16
1992.02
113.3
104.65
107.63
104.98
1992.03
116.0
104.94
108.47
105.29
1992.04
122.7
104.03
109.39
104.32
1992.05
120.7
102.83
110.16
103.65
1992.06
122.0
103.61
111.34
102.66
1992.07
115.3
104.23
112.17
102.51
1992.08
118.7
105.33
112.33
102.92
1992.09
121.3
105.51
110.98
102.59
1992.10
121.3
106.02
109.42
102.73
1992.11
132.0
106.75
108.55
102.58
1992.12
135.3
107.45
107.28
103.77
1993.01
139.3
109.91
107.35
105.00
1993.02
139.3
111.78
107.60
105.65
1993.03
142.0
113.86
108.21
105.16
1993.04
148.7
114.07
107.34
105.27
1993.05
148.7
114.33
106.07
105.77
1993.06
148.7
113.24
103.84
106.74
1993.07
142.7
111.31
102.27
106.90
1993.08
142.7
109.30
100.87
107.22
1993.09
132.0
107.90
101.27
107.96
1993.10
132.0
107.26
101.35
108.95
1993.11
135.3
108.18
103.59
109.99
1993.12
134.0
108.56
103.33
111.52
1994.01
130.7
106.57
101.75
113.63
1994.02
124.0
104.29
98.31
114.39
1994.03
117.3
103.54
97.17
113.73
1994.04
119.3
104.99
97.34
111.75
1994.05
119.3
105.84
97.27
111.00
1994.06
128.7
107.17
98.81
110.46
1994.07
132.7
108.83
99.71
110.77
1994.08
136.7
109.74
101.27
110.94
1994.09
139.3
109.65
100.78
111.18
1994.10
138.7
109.25
101.05
110.88
1994.11
138.7
108.90
99.34
110.09
1994.12
136.0
107.75
99.95
108.05
1995.01
132.0
106.58
100.73
104.97
1995.02
131.3
105.28
102.58
102.37
1995.03
124.0
104.10
102.64
101.30
1995.04
123.3
102.90
102.30
101.32
1995.05
126.0
102.34
102.09
100.84
1995.06
120.7
101.21
100.90
99.68
1995.07
109.3
100.41
100.52
97.97
1995.08
107.3
99.78
99.60
96.31
1995.09
111.3
100.16
99.94
94.89
1995.10
114.0
99.40
99.36
93.81
1995.11
114.0
99.57
99.90
93.68
1995.12
114.0
100.00
99.65
94.68
1996.01
111.3
101.55
99.40
96.33
1996.02
106.0
100.60
98.83
98.00
1996.03
106.0
100.24
98.69
99.10
1996.04
104.0
99.34
99.25
99.62
1996.05
106.7
99.38
100.00
99.98
1996.06
106.7
99.36
99.73
100.34
1996.07
105.3
99.38
99.81
100.99
1996.08
97.3
99.56
99.73
101.42
1996.09
93.3
99.65
100.81
101.56
1996.10
93.3
100.06
101.21
101.33
1996.11
92.0
100.45
101.45
100.61
1996.12
92.0
99.68
101.47
100.13
1997.01
94.7
98.54
101.51
99.19
1997.02
97.3
98.32
100.94
98.52
1997.03
100.0
98.32
100.82
98.30
1997.04
100.0
98.55
100.06
98.63
1997.05
99.3
98.01
99.70
99.32
1997.06
100.7
97.51
100.31
99.26
1997.07
94.0
96.98
100.27
99.03
1997.08
92.0
96.61
100.55
98.74
1997.09
96.0
96.58
99.60
98.58
1997.10
93.3
96.48
99.52
98.67
1997.11
88.0
95.75
99.34
98.46
1997.12
82.0
94.88
99.11
97.32
1998.01
74.0
94.03
99.26
96.54
1998.02
70.0
94.77
99.19
96.26
1998.03
62.0
94.86
99.06
95.80
1998.04
64.7
94.85
98.64
95.01
1998.05
58.7
94.05
98.00
93.65
1998.06
60.7
94.06
97.53
93.35
1998.07
60.7
94.56
96.82
93.19
1998.08
63.3
94.84
97.02
93.32
1998.09
63.3
94.92
97.65
93.36
1998.10
66.0
95.16
98.83
93.22
1998.11
70.0
95.06
98.74
93.11
1998.12
66.7
94.74
99.20
94.91
1999.01
66.7
94.07
99.18
95.27
1999.02
62.7
92.76
100.32
95.25
1999.03
60.0
92.57
100.18
93.46
1999.04
59.3
92.52
100.89
93.17
1999.05
59.3
93.35
101.31
93.23
1999.06
62.7
93.28
101.20
93.38
1999.07
62.7
92.97
101.35
93.33
1999.08
62.0
93.11
100.45
93.60
1999.09
70.0
93.33
99.80
93.56
1999.10
70.7
94.00
99.06
93.54
1999.11
77.3
94.28
99.85
93.00
1999.12
77.3
96.07
100.64
91.25
2000.01
75.3
96.50
101.18
91.25
2000.02
79.3
97.54
100.94
91.27
2000.03
83.3
96.90
101.00
92.83
2000.04
87.3
97.27
100.40
92.54
2000.05
87.3
96.98
100.04
92.29
2000.06
93.3
97.35
100.18
91.60
2000.07
90.7
97.90
100.22
91.46
2000.08
93.3
97.68
100.37
90.96
2000.09
93.3
97.34
99.91
90.86
2000.10
90.7
96.23
99.63
91.30
2000.11
86.7
95.89
98.91
92.44
2000.12
83.3
95.11
98.58
92.68
2001.01
91.3
96.39
98.64
92.40
2001.02
91.3
96.83
99.12
91.63
2001.03
91.3
97.49
99.63
91.68
2001.04
88.7
96.63
99.75
91.68
2001.05
85.3
96.28
99.70
92.24
2001.06
88.0
95.78
99.74
92.98
2001.07
83.3
95.24
100.10
93.15
2001.08
83.3
95.11
100.37
92.91
2001.09
76.7
94.97
100.31
92.45
2001.10
73.3
95.01
100.16
91.71
2001.11
76.0
94.95
100.33
91.39
2001.12
76.7
95.23
100.70
90.93
2002.01
76.7
94.93
100.72
90.86
2002.02
76.7
95.01
100.75
90.97
2002.03
76.7
95.45
100.67
91.02
2002.04
82.7
96.54
100.71
91.21
2002.05
85.3
96.98
100.82
91.18
2002.06
85.3
97.19
101.02
91.32
2002.07
89.3
97.12
101.20
91.64
2002.08
94.7
97.87
101.52
92.11
2002.09
94.7
98.31
101.64
92.62
2002.10
94.7
98.89
101.95
93.04
2002.11
100.7
98.42
101.36
93.30
2002.12
100.7
99.08
101.57
94.37
2003.01
107.3
100.00
101.87
95.04
2003.02
107.3
100.91
102.19
95.93
2003.03
104.7
100.21
101.31
96.33
2003.04
101.3
99.09
100.45
97.22
2003.05
97.3
99.05
100.52
97.51
2003.06
97.3
99.45
101.16
97.52
2003.07
109.3
99.93
101.99
97.45
2003.08
109.3
99.93
102.03
97.59
2003.09
109.3
99.91
102.37
97.95
2003.10
112.0
99.98
102.40
98.39
2003.11
112.0
100.39
102.58
98.66
2003.12
112.7
101.03
102.69
98.61
2004.01
116.7
101.87
102.41
98.56
2004.02
122.7
102.35
102.53
98.70
2004.03
125.3
102.64
102.38
99.12
2004.04
114.7
102.51
102.33
99.41
2004.05
112.0
102.21
101.65
99.43
2004.06
112.0
101.86
101.08
99.27
2004.07
105.3
101.52
100.83
99.08
2004.08
97.3
101.21
100.87
99.10
2004.09
97.3
101.11
100.70
98.74
2004.10
97.3
101.10
100.75
98.05
2004.11
97.3
101.16
100.67
97.20
2004.12
100.0
100.53
100.97
96.38
2005.01
100.0
100.04
101.20
96.43
2005.02
100.0
99.69
101.48
96.14
2005.03
97.3
99.92
101.82
95.66
2005.04
97.3
100.15
102.23
94.45
2005.05
97.3
100.49
102.58
93.56
2005.06
100.0
100.63
102.59
93.18
2005.07
100.0
100.85
102.47
92.98
2005.08
102.7
100.86
102.41
92.83
2005.09
106.7
101.00
102.30
92.92
2005.10
106.7
100.92
102.00
93.39
2005.11
106.7
100.84
102.05
93.98
2005.12
104.0
101.04
102.22
94.89
2006.01
101.3
100.83
102.66
94.49
2006.02
104.7
100.94
102.88
94.50
2006.03
104.7
100.82
102.83
94.14
2006.04
107.3
101.36
102.53
94.82
2006.05
107.3
101.57
102.31
95.67
2006.06
106.7
101.64
102.04
96.31
2006.07
106.7
101.39
101.89
97.07
2006.08
105.3
101.16
101.98
97.52
2006.09
100.0
100.93
102.27
97.90
2006.10
100.0
100.94
102.50
98.27
2006.11
101.3
100.69
102.52
98.47
2006.12
101.3
101.30
103.02
98.06
2007.01
101.3
101.67
102.99
98.74
2007.02
108.0
102.06
102.77
99.02
2007.03
110.7
102.02
102.54
99.94
2007.04
110.7
102.10
103.08
99.86
2007.05
113.3
102.45
103.33
100.37
2007.06
113.3
102.61
103.73
101.23
2007.07
113.3
102.74
103.90
101.82
指標解釋: (編制方法及簡要分析參見www.cemac.org.cn)一致指數是反映當前經濟的基本走勢,由工業生產、就業、社會需求(投資、消費、外貿)、社會收入(國家稅收、企業利潤、居民收入)等4個方面合成;先行指數是由一組領先于一致指數的先行指標合成,用于對經濟未來的走勢進行預測;滯后指數是由落后于一致指數的滯后指標合成得到,它主要用于對經濟循環的峰與谷的一種確認;預警指數是把經濟運行的狀態分為5個級別,“紅燈”表示經濟過熱,“黃燈”表示經濟偏熱,“綠燈”表示經濟運行正常,“淺藍燈”表示經濟偏冷,“藍燈”表示經濟過冷。
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