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宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)景氣指數(shù)(2007年4月)
日期
預(yù)警指數(shù)
一致指數(shù)
(1996年＝100)
先行指數(shù)
(1996年＝100)
滯后指數(shù)
(1996年＝100)
1991.01
88.0
99.65
102.01
103.88
1991.02
90.7
99.34
102.22
103.66
1991.03
84.0
99.65
102.77
103.18
1991.04
86.0
100.00
103.45
103.69
1991.05
89.3
101.03
103.83
104.47
1991.06
96.7
101.40
104.28
105.78
1991.07
100.7
101.71
104.33
105.98
1991.08
100.7
101.80
104.75
105.05
1991.09
100.7
101.86
105.48
104.51
1991.10
103.3
102.13
106.27
103.66
1991.11
106.7
102.15
106.60
103.34
1991.12
106.7
102.13
106.56
103.27
1992.01
113.3
103.46
106.91
104.18
1992.02
113.3
104.59
107.63
104.99
1992.03
116.0
104.88
108.47
105.31
1992.04
122.7
103.97
109.40
104.33
1992.05
120.7
102.79
110.18
103.66
1992.06
122.0
103.55
111.37
102.68
1992.07
115.3
104.16
112.20
102.52
1992.08
118.7
105.25
112.35
102.93
1992.09
121.3
105.43
111.00
102.61
1992.10
121.3
105.94
109.44
102.74
1992.11
132.0
106.66
108.56
102.60
1992.12
135.3
107.33
107.28
103.79
1993.01
139.3
109.76
107.36
105.02
1993.02
139.3
111.58
107.61
105.66
1993.03
142.0
113.64
108.22
105.18
1993.04
148.7
113.87
107.34
105.29
1993.05
148.7
114.13
106.07
105.79
1993.06
148.7
113.05
103.83
106.76
1993.07
142.7
111.16
102.25
106.92
1993.08
142.7
109.18
100.85
107.23
1993.09
132.0
107.79
101.24
107.98
1993.10
132.0
107.17
101.34
108.97
1993.11
135.3
108.08
103.61
110.00
1993.12
134.0
108.45
103.35
111.53
1994.01
130.7
106.49
101.76
113.65
1994.02
124.0
104.23
98.30
114.40
1994.03
117.3
103.50
97.16
113.74
1994.04
119.3
104.93
97.32
111.75
1994.05
119.3
105.77
97.26
111.00
1994.06
128.7
107.08
98.80
110.46
1994.07
132.7
108.72
99.71
110.77
1994.08
136.7
109.62
101.28
110.94
1994.09
139.3
109.54
100.79
111.19
1994.10
138.7
109.15
101.05
110.88
1994.11
138.7
108.79
99.33
110.09
1994.12
136.0
107.66
99.95
108.04
1995.01
132.0
106.50
100.74
104.97
1995.02
131.3
105.23
102.60
102.37
1995.03
124.0
104.07
102.65
101.30
1995.04
123.3
102.89
102.30
101.32
1995.05
126.0
102.33
102.09
100.84
1995.06
120.7
101.21
100.91
99.68
1995.07
109.3
100.43
100.52
97.98
1995.08
107.3
99.80
99.60
96.31
1995.09
111.3
100.17
99.93
94.89
1995.10
114.0
99.42
99.35
93.81
1995.11
114.0
99.58
99.89
93.69
1995.12
114.0
100.01
99.64
94.68
1996.01
111.3
101.53
99.39
96.34
1996.02
106.0
100.61
98.82
98.00
1996.03
106.0
100.24
98.68
99.10
1996.04
104.0
99.35
99.25
99.62
1996.05
106.7
99.39
99.99
99.98
1996.06
106.7
99.37
99.73
100.34
1996.07
105.3
99.39
99.81
100.99
1996.08
97.3
99.57
99.73
101.41
1996.09
93.3
99.65
100.81
101.56
1996.10
93.3
100.05
101.21
101.33
1996.11
92.0
100.44
101.46
100.61
1996.12
92.0
99.69
101.48
100.14
1997.01
94.7
98.56
101.51
99.20
1997.02
97.3
98.35
100.94
98.54
1997.03
100.0
98.34
100.83
98.31
1997.04
100.0
98.57
100.07
98.65
1997.05
99.3
98.04
99.70
99.33
1997.06
100.7
97.54
100.32
99.27
1997.07
94.0
97.01
100.27
99.05
1997.08
92.0
96.64
100.55
98.76
1997.09
96.0
96.61
99.60
98.60
1997.10
89.3
96.52
99.51
98.69
1997.11
88.0
95.80
99.34
98.48
1997.12
82.0
94.93
99.11
97.34
1998.01
74.0
94.09
99.26
96.56
1998.02
70.0
94.82
99.20
96.28
1998.03
62.0
94.91
99.07
95.82
1998.04
64.7
94.89
98.64
95.03
1998.05
58.7
94.11
98.01
93.67
1998.06
60.7
94.12
97.53
93.37
1998.07
60.7
94.62
96.82
93.21
1998.08
63.3
94.90
97.01
93.34
1998.09
63.3
94.98
97.64
93.38
1998.10
66.0
95.22
98.82
93.24
1998.11
70.0
95.12
98.73
93.12
1998.12
66.7
94.81
99.20
94.91
1999.01
62.7
94.15
99.18
95.27
1999.02
62.7
92.86
100.33
95.24
1999.03
60.0
92.67
100.19
93.47
1999.04
59.3
92.62
100.90
93.19
1999.05
59.3
93.42
101.32
93.25
1999.06
62.7
93.36
101.21
93.39
1999.07
62.7
93.05
101.36
93.35
1999.08
62.0
93.19
100.46
93.62
1999.09
70.0
93.40
99.80
93.58
1999.10
70.7
94.06
99.06
93.56
1999.11
77.3
94.34
99.85
93.02
1999.12
77.3
96.10
100.64
91.29
2000.01
75.3
96.53
101.17
91.30
2000.02
79.3
97.56
100.94
91.32
2000.03
83.3
96.94
100.99
92.85
2000.04
87.3
97.29
100.39
92.56
2000.05
87.3
97.02
100.03
92.32
2000.06
93.3
97.38
100.16
91.63
2000.07
90.7
97.92
100.20
91.48
2000.08
93.3
97.71
100.34
90.99
2000.09
93.3
97.37
99.89
90.89
2000.10
90.7
96.27
99.61
91.33
2000.11
86.7
95.94
98.89
92.47
2000.12
83.3
95.17
98.56
92.71
2001.01
91.3
96.43
98.63
92.42
2001.02
91.3
96.86
99.11
91.65
2001.03
91.3
97.52
99.62
91.70
2001.04
88.7
96.67
99.74
91.70
2001.05
85.3
96.33
99.69
92.27
2001.06
88.0
95.83
99.73
93.00
2001.07
83.3
95.29
100.10
93.17
2001.08
83.3
95.17
100.37
92.93
2001.09
76.7
95.03
100.31
92.47
2001.10
73.3
95.06
100.16
91.73
2001.11
76.0
95.01
100.33
91.41
2001.12
76.7
95.29
100.70
90.95
2002.01
76.7
94.99
100.72
90.88
2002.02
76.7
95.07
100.76
90.99
2002.03
76.7
95.49
100.67
91.04
2002.04
82.7
96.58
100.71
91.23
2002.05
85.3
97.01
100.82
91.19
2002.06
85.3
97.22
101.03
91.33
2002.07
89.3
97.15
101.21
91.65
2002.08
94.7
97.90
101.52
92.12
2002.09
94.7
98.33
101.65
92.64
2002.10
94.7
98.90
101.95
93.06
2002.11
100.7
98.44
101.37
93.32
2002.12
100.7
99.09
101.58
94.38
2003.01
107.3
100.00
101.87
95.05
2003.02
107.3
100.90
102.19
95.95
2003.03
104.7
100.21
101.32
96.34
2003.04
101.3
99.10
100.45
97.24
2003.05
97.3
99.06
100.53
97.52
2003.06
101.3
99.46
101.17
97.54
2003.07
109.3
99.93
102.00
97.47
2003.08
109.3
99.93
102.03
97.61
2003.09
109.3
99.91
102.38
97.97
2003.10
112.0
99.98
102.41
98.41
2003.11
112.0
100.39
102.58
98.67
2003.12
112.7
101.01
102.69
98.63
2004.01
112.7
101.85
102.41
98.58
2004.02
118.7
102.32
102.53
98.72
2004.03
125.3
102.61
102.38
99.14
2004.04
114.7
102.48
102.33
99.43
2004.05
112.0
102.18
101.65
99.45
2004.06
112.0
101.84
101.09
99.29
2004.07
105.3
101.51
100.84
99.10
2004.08
97.3
101.20
100.88
99.12
2004.09
97.3
101.10
100.71
98.76
2004.10
97.3
101.09
100.76
98.07
2004.11
97.3
101.15
100.67
97.23
2004.12
100.0
100.53
100.99
96.41
2005.01
100.0
100.04
101.21
96.46
2005.02
100.0
99.69
101.49
96.17
2005.03
97.3
99.92
101.83
95.68
2005.04
97.3
100.14
102.24
94.47
2005.05
97.3
100.48
102.60
93.58
2005.06
104.0
100.62
102.60
93.20
2005.07
104.0
100.84
102.48
93.00
2005.08
106.7
100.85
102.41
92.85
2005.09
102.7
100.99
102.31
92.94
2005.10
106.7
100.92
102.00
93.41
2005.11
106.7
100.83
102.06
94.00
2005.12
104.0
101.03
102.22
94.91
2006.01
101.3
100.82
102.67
94.51
2006.02
101.3
100.93
102.88
94.51
2006.03
104.7
100.81
102.83
94.15
2006.04
107.3
101.34
102.54
94.84
2006.05
107.3
101.55
102.32
95.69
2006.06
106.7
101.63
102.04
96.33
2006.07
106.7
101.37
101.90
97.09
2006.08
105.3
101.15
101.99
97.54
2006.09
100.0
100.91
102.28
97.92
2006.10
100.0
100.93
102.50
98.30
2006.11
104.0
100.68
102.53
98.50
2006.12
101.3
101.28
103.02
98.09
2007.01
101.3
101.65
102.97
98.77
2007.02
108.0
102.03
102.77
99.05
2007.03
108.0
102.06
102.54
99.97
2007.04
108.0
102.19
102.88
99.62
指標(biāo)解釋：(編制方法及簡(jiǎn)要分析參見(jiàn)www.cemac.org.cn)一致指數(shù)是反映當(dāng)前經(jīng)濟(jì)的基本走勢(shì)，由工業(yè)生產(chǎn)、就業(yè)、社會(huì)需求（投資、消費(fèi)、外貿(mào)）、社會(huì)收入（國(guó)家稅收、企業(yè)利潤(rùn)、居民收入）等4個(gè)方面合成；先行指數(shù)是由一組領(lǐng)先于一致指數(shù)的先行指標(biāo)合成，用于對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)未來(lái)的走勢(shì)進(jìn)行預(yù)測(cè)；滯后指數(shù)是由落后于一致指數(shù)的滯后指標(biāo)合成得到，它主要用于對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)循環(huán)的峰與谷的一種確認(rèn)；預(yù)警指數(shù)是把經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行的狀態(tài)分為5個(gè)級(jí)別，“紅燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)過(guò)熱，“黃燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)偏熱，“綠燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行正常，“淺藍(lán)燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)偏冷，“藍(lán)燈”表示經(jīng)濟(jì)過(guò)冷。