昨日黃金再現其3月2日瘋狂下跌的一面，開盤680.10，最高680.90，最低664.10，收盤666.90，全天下跌12.70美元。

　　昨天顯然市場關注的焦點在于央行的利率會議。各家央行你方唱罷我登場。英國央行，歐洲央行，美聯儲先后宣布自己的利率決定。西方央行的西風再次造成美元的反彈，從而打壓了黃金。美聯儲在會后的聲明中，認為通貨膨脹的壓力得到緩解，但是仍然存在。(Although inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time, the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain those pressures. )將來的利率政策取決于經濟增長＆通脹壓力兩個方面，這判斷這兩個方面情況的就是下次利率會議之前發布的數據。

　　另外一個方面，技術性的拋盤以及基金的平倉另黃金雪上加霜。"The dollar has been the fundamental push," said Patrick Lafferty, Commodity Trading Adviser with Fox Investments, a division of Man Financial, adding that technical market factors were lined up for a fall.

　　另一個方面原油和黃金一樣，也是處于一個十字路口，從下面的圖中可以看出。隨著夏季用油高峰的到來，以及隨后可能到來的颶風期，原油不宜過分看空。路透社今日早晨報道，美國

　　技術上看，從下面的日線圖上看出，黃金的上升軌道并沒有得到破壞，或許正如筆者在前期金評中所寫道的，此次下跌反而給中線做多者一個良好的買入時機。關鍵是該趨勢線能否構成一個有效的支撐，如果上升趨勢線得到完全破壞，那么筆者認為下一個目標位分別為655＆640。

　　今日操作上，建議投資者逢底買多，上方阻力位675，若下破昨日低點即664，則止損并反手做空，目標價位655。

　　(農民與期貨)

　　附FOMC STATEMENT

　　The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to keep its target for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 percent.

　　Economic growth slowed in the first part of this year and the adjustment in the housing sector is ongoing. Nevertheless, the economy seems likely to expand at a moderate pace over coming quarters.

　　Core inflation remains somewhat elevated. Although inflation pressures seem likely to moderate over time, the high level of resource utilization has the potential to sustain those pressures.

　　In these circumstances, the Committee's predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected. Future policy adjustments will depend on the evolution of the outlook for both inflation and economic growth, as implied by incoming information.

　　Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; Timothy F. Geithner, Vice Chairman; Thomas M. Hoenig; Donald L. Kohn; Randall S. Kroszner; Cathy E. Minehan; Frederic S. Mishkin; Michael H. Moskow; William Poole; and Kevin M. Warsh.

　　仟家信聲明：本版文章內容純屬作者個人觀點，僅供投資者參考，并不構成投資建議。投資者據此操作，風險自擔。