芝加哥8月6日消息:美國時間下周四早晨,美國農業部(USDA)將公布8月份月度供需報告。以下是分析師在截止8月1日作物生長條件的基礎上對美國2004年大豆、玉米作物產量的預測(產量單位為十億蒲式耳;單產單位為蒲式耳/英畝):
平均預測預測區間 USDA7月份報告 2003年實際 產量 大豆2.9652.881-3.042 2.9402.418玉米10.784 10.622-11.007 10.635 10.114 單產 大豆40.239.2-41.3 39.933.4玉米14
7.0145.0-149.6 145.0 142.2各機構具體預測: 大豆 玉米 產量 單產產量 單產A.G.Edwards& Sons2.985 40.510.800 147.2Allendale 2.94840.110.919149.6Barrington Commod. Brokers 2.889 39.710.734146.8CargillInvestor Services 2.989 40.510.730 146.2Citigroup 3.01041.010.715146.8FC Stone 2.982 40.510.938 149.1Fimat Futures2.92339.510.644145.6GWS Weather Model3.033 41.210.695 145.8Kropf &LoveConsulting 2.889 39.210.863 148.0The Linn Group3.01040.910.952149.3North American Risk Mang. 2.960 40.210.660145.3Midwest MarketSolutions 2.955 n/a10.850 n/aMID-CO CommoditiesInc. 2.88139.210.622 145.2OConnor 2.920 39.610.720146.0Progressive Ag.3.01040.910.980 149.6Prudential Securities2.994 40.710.711 146.5RJOBrien 3.022 40.110.726 146.2STA TradingServices3.042 41.310.847147.9Stewart-Peterson2.911 39.510.635145.0US Commodities2.93339.810.716 147.0WEFA2.986 40.411.007147.7(來源:天琪期貨)
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